Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

August 2022: Above-Normal Activity Expected After Season Lull

The hurricane season started off quickly, with three named storms by the first week of July, since then the basin has quieted down considerably. Current indications are that the next storm, Danielle, may not form until close to mid-August.

The August forecast update includes a change in the number of named storms. Some of the factors that StormGeo's Hurricane and Long-Range Forecasters evaluated to determine this change include:

• La Niña and its impact on the Atlantic Basin,
• water temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean,
• the presence of moderate wind shear across the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, and
• an analysis of the European seasonal outlook model.

Continue reading this forecast for an in-depth analysis of the current signals and long-range patterns. The forecast also looks at major risk areas and how many storms may develop this season.

Only have time for a quick glance? Check out our Atlantic Hurricane Season Risk Map, which shows areas with above-normal risk for impact and the predicted number of storms by intensity.